Western Connecticut 
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 86.5705
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
214 H Brockport SUNYAC ( 1- 7, 83.8) 10- 9
218 A Emerson NEWMAC ( 3- 8, 82.7) 16- 7
228 A Merchant Marine Skyline ( 5- 4, 86.9) 10-15
304 H Clark NEWMAC ( 0-10, 81.3) 12- 7
307 H Hartford CCC ( 5- 3, 87.6) 8-10
310 A New Paltz SUNYAC ( 2- 7, 80.2) 17- 7
314 N Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 5- 4, 88.4) 14-15
317 N Farmingdale State Skyline ( 6- 2, 85.7) 15- 9
322 H Massachusetts Maritime LEC ( 6- 2, 85.4) 11- 9
326 A Montclair State CLC ( 8- 2, 86.7) 8- 7
404 H Castleton LEC ( 2- 7, 76.5)
407 A Keene State LEC ( 6- 3, 85.1)
411 A Salem State LEC ( 4- 3, 79.7)
415 H Eastern Connecticut LEC ( 2- 3, 83.6)
418 H Southern Maine LEC ( 2- 6, 75.1)
421 A Massachusetts-Boston LEC ( 4- 4, 85.9)
424 A Plymouth State LEC ( 3- 4, 84.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Brockport 10- 9 1 3 - -2.05
218 A Emerson 16- 7 9 4 1.42
228 A Merchant Marine 10-15 -5 -1 -- -4.36
304 H Clark 12- 7 5 6 0.00
307 H Hartford 8-10 -2 -1 -1.29
310 A New Paltz 17- 7 10 6 0.00
314 N Vassar 14-15 -1 -2 0.88
317 N Farmingdale State 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.10
322 H Massachusetts Maritime 11- 9 2 1 0.53
326 A Montclair State 8- 7 1 0 1.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 A Merchant Marine 10-15 -5 -1 -- -4.36
214 H Brockport 10- 9 1 3 - -2.05
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 N Farmingdale State 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.10
|
Western Connecticut Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adrian |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Albertus Magnus |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Albion |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Albright |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Alfred |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Alfred State |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Allegheny |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Alma |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Alvernia |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Amherst |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Anderson (IN) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Anna Maria |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Arcadia |
Arcadia |
|
 
| Arcadia |
| Augustana |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Aurora |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Averett |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Babson |
Babson |
|
 
| Babson |
| Baldwin Wallace |
Baldwin Wallace |
|
 
| Baldwin Wallace |
| Bates |
Bates |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Bates |
| Beloit |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Benedictine (IL) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Berry |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Bethany |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
|
 
| Bowdoin |
| Brevard |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Bridgewater |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Brockport |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
 
| |
| Bryn Athyn |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Cairn |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Calvin |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Canton |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Capital |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Carroll |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Carthage |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Castleton |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Catholic |
Catholic |
|
 
| Catholic |
| Centenary (LA) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Centenary (NJ) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Centre |
Centre |
|
 
| Centre |
| Chatham |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
|
 
| Christopher Newport |
| Clark |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
 
| |
| Clarkson |
Clarkson |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Clarkson |
| Coast Guard |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Cobleskill |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Colby |
Colby |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Colby |
| Colorado College |
Colorado College |
|
 
| Colorado College |
| Concordia-Wisconsin |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Connecticut College |
Connecticut College |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Connecticut College |
| Cornell College |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Cortland |
Cortland |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Cortland |
| Curry |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Dean College |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Delaware Valley |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Delhi |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Denison |
Denison |
|
 
| Denison |
| DePauw |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| DeSales |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Dickinson |
Dickinson |
|
 
| Dickinson |
| Drew |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Western Connecticut |
| Dubuque |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Earlham |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Eastern |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Eastern Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Edgewood |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Elizabethtown |
Elizabethtown |
|
 
| Elizabethtown |
| Elmhurst |
Elmhurst |
|
 
| Elmhurst |
| Elmira |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Emerson |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
 
| |
| Emmanuel (MA) |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Endicott |
Endicott |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Endicott |
| Farmingdale State |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
 
| |
| FDU-Florham |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Franciscan |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Franklin & Marshall |
Franklin & Marshall |
|
 
| Franklin & Marshall |
| Geneseo |
Geneseo |
|
 
| Geneseo |
| Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
|
 
| Gettysburg |
| Gordon |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Goucher |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Greensboro |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Grove City |
Grove City |
|
 
| Grove City |
| Guilford |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Gwynedd Mercy |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Hamilton |
Hamilton |
|
 
| Hamilton |
| Hampden-Sydney |
Hampden-Sydney |
|
 
| Hampden-Sydney |
| Hanover |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Hartford |
Hartford |
Hartford |
 
| |
| Hartwick |
Western Connecticut |
|
Western Connecticut   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Haverford |
Haverford |
|
 
| Haverford |
| Heidelberg |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Hendrix |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Hilbert |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Hiram |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Hood |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Hope |
Hope |
|
 
| Hope |
| Huntingdon |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Husson |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Illinois Tech |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Illinois Wesleyan |
Illinois Wesleyan |
|
 
| Illinois Wesleyan |
| Immaculata |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Ithaca |
Ithaca |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ithaca |
| John Carroll |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Johnson & Wales |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Western Connecticut |
| Juniata |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Kalamazoo |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Kean |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Keene State |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Kenyon |
Kenyon |
|
 
| Kenyon |
| Keuka |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Kings |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| La Roche |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| LaGrange |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Lake Forest |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Lasell |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Lawrence |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Lebanon Valley |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Lycoming |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Maine Maritime |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Manhattanville |
Western Connecticut |
|
Western Connecticut   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Marian (WI) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Marietta |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Maritime |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Western Connecticut |
| Mary Washington |
Mary Washington |
|
 
| Mary Washington |
| Marymount |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Marywood |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Massachusetts Maritime |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
 
| |
| Massachusetts-Boston |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| McDaniel |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| MCLA |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Merchant Marine |
Merchant Marine |
Merchant Marine |
 
| |
| Messiah |
Messiah |
|
 
| Messiah |
| Methodist |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Middlebury |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
| Misericordia |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Western Connecticut |
| MIT |
MIT |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
MIT |
| Mitchell |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Montclair State |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
 
| |
| Moravian |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Morrisville |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Mount St Mary (NY) |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Mount St Vincent |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Mount Union |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| MSOE |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Muhlenberg |
Muhlenberg |
|
 
| Muhlenberg |
| Muskingum |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Nazareth |
Nazareth |
|
 
| Nazareth |
| Neumann |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| New England College |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| New Paltz |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
 
| |
| Nichols |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| North Central |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Northland |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Norwich |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Oberlin |
Oberlin |
|
 
| Oberlin |
| Oglethorpe |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Ohio Northern |
Ohio Northern |
|
 
| Ohio Northern |
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Ohio Wesleyan |
|
 
| Ohio Wesleyan |
| Oneonta |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Oswego |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Western Connecticut |
| Otterbein |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Penn College |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Western Connecticut |
| Pfeiffer |
Pfeiffer |
|
 
| Pfeiffer |
| Piedmont |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Pitt-Bradford |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Plattsburgh |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Western Connecticut |
| Plymouth State |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Western Connecticut |
| Potsdam |
Potsdam |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Potsdam |
| Purchase |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Randolph |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Randolph-Macon |
Randolph-Macon |
|
 
| Randolph-Macon |
| Regis (MA) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Rhodes |
Rhodes |
|
 
| Rhodes |
| RIT |
RIT |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
RIT |
| Rivier |
Rivier |
|
 
| Rivier |
| Roanoke |
Roanoke |
|
 
| Roanoke |
| Roger Williams |
Western Connecticut |
|
Western Connecticut   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Rosemont |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| RPI |
RPI |
|
 
| RPI |
| Sage |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Salem State |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Salisbury |
Salisbury |
|
 
| Salisbury |
| Salve Regina |
Salve Regina |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Salve Regina |
| Scranton |
Scranton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Scranton |
| Sewanee |
Sewanee |
|
 
| Sewanee |
| Shenandoah |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Skidmore |
Skidmore |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Skidmore |
| Southern Maine |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Southern Virginia |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Southwestern |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Spalding |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Springfield |
Springfield |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Springfield |
| St John Fisher |
St John Fisher |
|
 
| St John Fisher |
| St Joseph (CT) |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Western Connecticut |
| St Josephs (LI) |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| St Josephs (ME) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| St Lawrence |
St Lawrence |
|
 
| St Lawrence |
| St Marys (MD) |
St Marys (MD) |
|
 
| St Marys (MD) |
| St Vincent |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Stevens |
Stevens |
|
 
| Stevens |
| Stevenson |
Stevenson |
|
 
| Stevenson |
| Stockton |
Stockton |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Stockton |
| SUNY Poly |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Susquehanna |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Swarthmore |
Swarthmore |
|
 
| Swarthmore |
| Thiel |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Thomas |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Transylvania |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Trine |
Trine |
|
 
| Trine |
| Trinity |
Trinity |
|
 
| Trinity |
| Tufts |
Tufts |
|
 
| Tufts |
| U of New England |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Union |
Union |
|
 
| Union |
| Ursinus |
Ursinus |
|
 
| Ursinus |
| Utica |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Vassar |
Vassar |
Vassar |
 
| |
| Virginia Wesleyan |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Wabash |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Warren Wilson |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Washington & Jefferson |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Washington & Lee |
Washington & Lee |
|
 
| Washington & Lee |
| Washington College |
Washington College |
|
 
| Washington College |
| Wentworth |
Western Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Western Connecticut |
| Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Wesleyan |
| Western New England |
Western New England |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Western New England |
| Westminster (PA) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Wheaton |
Wheaton |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) |
Wheaton |
| Widener |
Western Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Western Connecticut |
| Wilkes |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| William Peace |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Williams |
Williams |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Williams |
| Wilmington (OH) |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Wittenberg |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
| Wooster |
Wooster |
|
 
| Wooster |
| York |
York |
|
 
| York |
PowerWise = 158

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.88
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Brockport ( 1- 7, 83.8) 10- 9 -16.05 23.19 -0.33 0.89 20.31
0 A Emerson ( 3- 8, 82.7) 16- 7 -17.24 22.00 0.33 0.89 19.84
0 A Merchant Marin ( 5- 4, 86.9) 10-15 -13.02 26.23 0.33 0.89 -11.27
0 H Clark ( 0-10, 81.3) 12- 7 -18.62 20.63 -0.33 0.89 18.03
0 H Hartford ( 5- 3, 87.6) 8-10 -12.29 26.96 -0.33 0.89 -11.20
0 A New Paltz ( 2- 7, 80.2) 17- 7 -19.68 19.56 0.33 0.89 17.67
0 N Vassar ( 5- 4, 88.4) 14-15 -11.45 27.79 -0.00 0.89 -10.17
0 N Farmingdale St ( 6- 2, 85.7) 15- 9 -14.23 25.02 -0.00 0.89 22.22
0 H Massachusetts ( 6- 2, 85.4) 11- 9 -14.47 24.77 -0.33 0.89 21.71
0 A Montclair Stat ( 8- 2, 86.7) 8- 7 -13.16 26.08 0.33 0.89 23.46
------
110.57
|
winning pts = 143.2175 losing points = -32.6450
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------